BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 141 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Beijing, China. The tournaments are much smaller on DraftKings this week, therefore I think it’s a good week to focus more on cash games. The main GPP is the $8 entry that pays $10K into 1st place. That’s the best you to pursue in my view. I will have a few LUs that I put into a lot of GPPs hoping I can win them all, but I will not have many LUs in total this week. Aside from that, almost all of my play with this week will probably be in the cash games. Mostly H2Hs. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy for UFC Beijing, as well as my fade of the week.
Cash Game play of this week — Song Yadong ($9,100)
I believe Song Yadong might be the best drama on the card this weekend and there are 4 fighters priced higher than him. Yadong is a -500 favored on Saturday and I believe this is a fight the UFC is wanting him to win in his home nation. I think in championships, Yadong is going to be the highest owned fighter on the card with 3 girls fighters priced above him, with much smaller odds of winning ITD. I think you can create a case to fade him because of his ownership in GPPs, but in money games we do not care about possession. I believe this is a good spot to lock in a triumph and maybe ~100-points, and then try to find 3 more wins that we are able to afford. More often than not 4 wins gets the job done in money games.
GPP drama of this week — Rashad Coulter ($8,400)
This fight has got the 2nd highest FDGTD lineup on the card at -400. There is also value on Hu Yaozong together with him being $600 cheaper and the gambling line being almost even. Normally when there is worth like that within an underdog it makes them among the very popular fighters on the card. I really don’t think either of these men are UFC level fighters, but I’m a bit more impressed by what I have seen from Coulter than the inexperienced Yaozong. I think getting Coulter in GPP lineups in a lower possession than Yaozong makes sense this weekend at a fight which shouldn’t go all 3-rounds. If both of these guys get an early end they will likely be on the winning lineup. I’m guessing Coulter are the reduced owned man of the two and that’s what makes him my GPP drama of the week.
Underdog drama of this week — Francis Ngannou ($7,500)
There really are not many underdogs I love to aim this week to get UFC Beijing. I have not loved creating lineups this week since I hate plugging in two underdogs once I think almost every favorite will get a win. I believe the best underdog to aim this week is Francis Ngannou since he does have a clear path to success and he’s won in this matchup before. The path to victory for Ngannou is by knockout, and he has the power to be able to KO anyone on the planet. If he can get a KO at $7.5k then he likely ends upon the 1st spot lineup, particularly if it is an early KO. From the first fight between these two men Blaydes was able to get 2 takedowns, but Ngannou managed to get up fairly fast each time. If he is able to end up like that again here, I really don’t find any way Blaydes are going to have the cardio to attempt to wrestle for 5-rounds. I believe Ngannou is your scarier guy on the toes and I don’t see Blaydes wanting to strike for long periods of time. I believe Ngannou is reside for an upset here but on a cardI really don’t enjoy many underdogs I think he’s the best you to aim with his 1st round KO upsidedown. Fade of the week — Lauren Mueller ($9,200)
I really don’t like targeting any of these ladies in the $9k range. I believe that they should all get wins, but I don’t see any of them becoming 10x their salary. For Mueller, she would need at least 92 DK points to strike 10x and I believe she has to get a conclusion to make that happen. Mueller has 5 wins her MMA record and only 1 of those wins didn’t go to decision. She also only scored 72 DK points in her UFC win. If she scores 72 at $9.2k then she will not be winning anybody a tournament. I also believe Zhang and Xiaonan have greater chances of winning compared to Mueller does this that’s why I picked her over those two as my fade of the week. I will not be making a great deal of lineups this week however when I was making 20 lineups then Mueller would be on among these.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on each struggle, my personal approaches & suggestions, and my pick prediction for every fight then it is possible to discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:

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