NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018 odds and picks: Advanced model locks in surprising predictions for GoBowling at The Glen

After launching at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 preferred for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the year and Denny Hamlin, listed at 10-1 NASCAR in Watkins Glen odds, won the pole Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road course wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his last win at The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen this past year and is listed at 4-1 odds. Prior to making any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen picks, you need to find out what SportsLine’s advanced computer version has to say.

The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has an established history in a number of sports. It also powers McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to over $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events in this way are in his blood, and his version has been crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has made several enormous calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. It also pinpointed five of the top 10 at Bristol and two of the top five at Daytona, just to name a few. Anybody following its selections this season is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen field is secured, SportsLine mimicked the occasion 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

One sudden pick from the version for GoBowling at The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds to win at 6-1, does not sniff the best 10. He’s a driver to prevent on Sunday despite his leading starting position of third.

Elliott is still in search of his initial career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of the past seven starts, but was only 19th in Chicago and 34th at Daytona a month. Last year in Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 mph) at the last practices for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the model says he is a favorite to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best odds at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.

He’s had plenty of success on street tracks, including winning final year. But he is a risky pick at these chances because he has an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career, and it has completed 10th or worse in three of his past six races here. There are better values out there within this Go Bowling in The Glen field.

Instead, the model is targeting two huge underdogs with odds longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, such as a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could strike it wealthy.

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